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Session 4: DCF Big Picture and First Steps in Riskfree Rates
Description
We started the class with a discussion of structuring a DCF and the different groupings of risk, and why some types of risk matter more than others, before moving on torisk free rates, exploring why risk free rates vary across currencies and what to do about really low or negative risk free rates. The blog post below captures my thoughts on negative risk free rates:
http://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2016/03/negative-interest-rates-unreal.html
If you want to see my updated perspective on risk free rates, try my blog post from this year, built around the inflation question is here:
https://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2025/01/data-update-4-for-2025-interest-rates.html
I know that the notion that the Fed sets interest rates runs deep, and that you will be able find ways of explaining away contrary evidence, if you feel strongly enough, but I would encourage you to keep an open mind on this question,. Way too much money and resources have been wasted because of the Fed obsession over the last decade to not fight back. Finally, I am included the latest sovereign ratings from Moody;’s and the sovereign CDS spreads .
Start of the class test: https://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/tests/riskfree.pdf
Slides: https://nyu.box.com/s/4rxeeq1f2rytu1y9j98vq1h2choujmu6
Post class test: https://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/postclass/session4atest.pdf
Post class solution: https://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/postclass/session4asoln.pdf
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