Episode Details
Back to EpisodesHealthEquity Stock: A Record Quarter - and a $3B Rate Lock. Why We Say HOLD (HQY Q2 FY2027)
Published 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Description
HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 FY2027 — The stock fell 10.6% the same day, from $104.42 to $93.39.
Records on every line, guidance raised - and the filing shows the company has fixed the rate on $3.04bn of future HSA cash at 3.93%, a position now $91.5m underwater that Note 10 feeds back through custodial revenue.
THE CALL: HOLD (3/5, MODERATE) — base-case value ~$101.27 vs ~$97.00 today.
KEY METRICS:
- Revenue $350.7m (+7.6%); custodial/interest revenue $175.9m (+10.0%) = 50.2% of the company
- Net income $65.6m (+9.7%) but comprehensive income $28.3m (-52.8%)
- Non-GAAP EPS $1.24 (+14.8%); GAAP EPS $0.78 (+14.7%)
- Adjusted EBITDA $167.0m at a record 48% margin; service costs FELL to $73.2m
- Hedge book: 23 Treasury bond forwards, $3.04bn notional at 3.93%, $91.5m unrealised loss
- FY27 guide: revenue +$1m, adj EBITDA +$3m, non-GAAP EPS UNCHANGED at $4.66-$4.73
- HSA assets $37.9bn (+14%); 10.7m accounts (+8%); $231m of buybacks in H1
What to watch: the hedge notional stops growing AND the second half beats $2.25 adjusted EPS
Also on YouTube: @ChargedAlpha
DISCLAIMER: For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Do your own research before any investment decision.