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Pay Only After Results: I Ran the Numbers on Three AI Agency Ads

Pay Only After Results: I Ran the Numbers on Three AI Agency Ads

Published 20 hours ago
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Hi, I'm Connor with Honor - message me here!

"You do not pay us anything until we get you results." Three ads in a row said it to me. So I pulled all three transcripts, fed them to AI, and asked it to check the arithmetic against itself. The numbers fell apart in about nine seconds.

AD ONE claims 300 to 500 pre-qualified bookings every month, and separately claims a 40 to 60 percent close rate. Run 400 bookings at 50 percent and that is 200 new clients a month. But the same ad says the agency has signed 74 clients total. 74 out of 400 is 18.5 percent. Not 40. Not 60. He cannot have it both ways inside the same four minute ad. Either the booking volume is inflated or the close rate is, and either way the number selling you is not the number he is living on.

Then the headline math. 74 clients times $10,800 is $799,200 a month. That is $9.6 million a year. From an owner who somehow has time to personally build and manage funnels for strangers inside seven days.

AD TWO is worse. Over 4,000 partners averaging $18,105 per month. That is $72.4 million a month across the network. $869 million a year. That would make it one of the largest agency networks on the planet. Note the word average, not median, so a handful of outliers can carry the whole thing. And $18,105 is false precision. Exact looking numbers read as audited when they were invented.

NOW THE PART TO ACTUALLY UNDERSTAND. "Pay only after results" is real. It is just not what it sounds like.

You pay the ad spend directly. Usually $5,000 to $15,000 a month, straight to Meta or Google, on your card. They never touch it and it is never refundable, because it was never their money. Their fee is the setup or management fee. And "results" in the contract is almost always defined as bookings or qualified calls. Not closed revenue. Not money in your bank account. People kicking the tires.

So you can spend $30,000 on ads over 90 days, hit the booking target, owe them their full fee, and have closed nothing. The risk reversal is theatrical. The money still leaves your account.

Anyone can run ads and generate leads. I could sell squirrel parts on Facebook and generate leads. Nobody wants to buy a squirrel shoulder. But the leads come in, and the moment they do, you owe.

ASK THESE TWO QUESTIONS AND YOU WILL KNOW EVERYTHING
1. What is the monthly ad spend requirement, and why that number?
2. What is the exact contractual definition of "results"?

If the answer is vague, or gets redirected to a call, or you have to talk to a manager who happens to be a very good salesperson, you already have your answer.

And here is the tell that ends it for me. If it worked that well, they would shut up about it and just do it. They would not be selling it to normal folks.

I spent years at LAPD. It grinds on me when people sell nonsense.

HOW TO PROTECT YOURSELF IN 60 SECONDS
Screenshot the ad or grab the transcript. Paste it into your AI. Ask it to check every number against every other number in the same ad. Ask it what is missing. Most of us can already smell it. This proves it with arithmetic before your card is on file.

Chapter markers are in the player.

LISTEN OR WATCH ON YOUTUBE
https://youtu.be/hiKDEpDx9mU

GET ON MY CALENDAR, 15 to 30 minutes, no charge
https://bookwithhonor.com

More on AI for business owners: https://santaclaritaartificialintelligence.com
Blog: https://connorwithhonor.com

I am Connor MacIvor. Be well.

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