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Zohran's Pollster tells us whether polls are broken

Published 1 month, 2 weeks ago
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Today on Nobody Knows Anything, Rob and Jesse unpack the latest Democratic primary fallout in Wisconsin and Michigan, the growing political fight over data centers and AI, and what these battles could reveal about where voters are headed in the 2026 midterms. They break down the aftermath of Wisconsin’s razor-thin primary, the role of late-deciding voters, and why Democrats and Republicans alike are suddenly scrambling to take an anti-data-center position.

From there, they turn to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the extraordinary amount of attention surrounding her, from her decision to publicly document her egg-freezing journey to the backlash over her comments about “woke” politics. They discuss AOC’s unusually direct relationship with voters, why her authenticity continues to set her apart from other politicians, and whether she is prepared to handle the intense spotlight of a potential 2028 presidential campaign. 

The episode then takes a deep dive into the state of political polling with Jane Rayburn, principal and co-founder of Workbench Strategy and a pollster for Zohran Mamdani. Rayburn explains what really happened with the recent polling in Wisconsin and Michigan, whether the polls were actually “wrong,” how late-deciding voters can reshape a race, and why public polling and internal campaign polling serve very different purposes.

Finally, Rayburn shares lessons from Mamdani’s campaign, including how the campaign used polling to identify and mobilize key groups of voters, why affordability needs to be more than just a Democratic buzzword, and what Democrats and progressives can learn from Mamdani’s focus on concrete policies, constituent service, and communicating a clear vision for government.

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