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How to Calculate Churn — and Why

How to Calculate Churn — and Why

Episode 451 Published 1 month ago
Description

Patreon backers have access to an exclusive ComicLab Churn Rate spreadsheet — it does the math for you!

Is your Patreon actually growing—or are new members disguising a retention problem? Brad walks Dave through the process of calculating churn rate and shows how one number can unlock a much clearer understanding of a membership business. They discuss subscriber retention, lifetime value, onboarding, well-timed interventions, and how to determine whether advertising or convention appearances are truly worth the investment. Then, Dave asks whether publishing a children’s book page by page on his existing webcomic could finally help him finish it.

Topics include:

  • Skunk Watch 2026
  • What churn rate means for a Patreon creator
  • Why total membership and revenue can give you an incomplete picture
  • Finding the necessary numbers in Patreon Insights
  • Two methods for calculating churn rate
  • What constitutes a healthy churn rate
  • Why one month of data isn’t enough
  • Calculating your average churn rate over time
  • Calculating your retention rate
  • Estimating average subscriber lifetime
  • Calculating average monthly revenue per member
  • Determining the lifetime value of a Patreon backer
  • Why retaining a current member is cheaper than acquiring a new one
  • Using Patreon Autopilot to reduce cancellations
  • Evaluating the quality and value of your Patreon rewards
  • Improving the onboarding experience for new members
  • Welcome messages, digital gifts, and personalized Bonjoro videos
  • Brad’s one-week Patreon check-in
  • Helping new backers navigate a complicated archive
  • Using average subscriber lifetime to schedule a retention intervention
  • Brad’s 18-month check-in and longtime-backer gift
  • Repackaging older work into valuable digital rewards
  • Rewarding and recognizing your longest-serving supporters
  • Exclusive livestreams, previews, and “inner circle” benefits
  • Calculating an acceptable customer-acquisition cost
  • Evaluating paid advertising with lifetime-value data
  • Tracking whether a comic convention was financially worthwhile
  • Why free webcomics may still be the best customer-acquisition strategy
  • Dave’s productivity tip: drawing to Brazilian Carnival music
  • Using a webcomic schedule to force yourself to complete a children’s book
  • Why serialized children’s-book pages may not satisfy online readers
  • Publishing complete thematic sections instead of individual pages
  • Building a new project into an established comic’s schedule
  • The difficulty of building an audience for an independent children’s book
  • When a traditional children’s-book publisher may be helpful
  • Creative control, editorial notes, and refusing unwanted revisions
  • Breaking publishing rules and trusting your own experience
  • Releasing a finished independent book before seeking wider distribution
  • Why experienced cartoonists may resist redrawing or revising completed work
  • ComicLab LIVE at the National Cartoonists Society Reuben Awards

 

You get great rewards when you join the ComicLab Community on Patreon

  • $2 — Early access to episodes
  • $5 — Submit a question for possible use on the show AND get the exclusive ProTips podcast. Plus $2-tier rewards.

If you'd like a one-on-one consultation about your comic, book it now!

Brad Guigar is the creator of Evil Inc and the author of

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