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Back to EpisodesGrains are DIRT Cheap (Inflation Adjusted Corn Price), but the UN Warns of Price Surge
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π Global Food Prices Set to Climb π The UN warns food prices could start rising by year-end and accelerate into 2027, driven by conflicts in Iran/Ukraine pushing up oil, diesel, gas, and fertilizer costs. π¦οΈ El NiΓ±o threatens crop yields in key growing regions, and while consumers haven't felt it yet, higher commodity costs typically take 3-6 months to hit grocery shelves.
π½ Corn & Soybeans Slide Again π Dec26 corn dropped ~6 cents to $4.60/bu and Nov26 soybeans fell 3 cents to ~$11.75/bu as favorable rain forecasts across the Corn Belt pressured prices, with StoneX projecting a yield above USDA's estimate. πΎ Wheat bucked the trend and closed higher on renewed Black Sea shipping concerns tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
ποΈ Farm Bureau Pushes for Senate Aid Approval π° AFBF President Zippy Duvall is urging the Senate to pass the House's budget resolution, which includes $12 billion in economic aid for farmers and ranchers. π The relief won't fully cover recent losses, but comes as producers battle rising costs, inflation, and weak commodity prices β on top of an estimated $44.3 billion in government payments already expected this year.
π’ Flash Sale Alert: Corn Export Sold π½ USDA reported 120,000mt (5 million bushels) of corn sold to exporters on Wednesday. π¦ 30,000mt ships in the 2026/27 marketing year, with the remaining 90,000mt slated for 2027/28 delivery.
β½ Ethanol Production Dips, Margins Hold Strong π Weekly ethanol output fell 2.3% week-over-week to 1.11 million barrels/day, though it's up 1% year-over-year, while stocks slipped to 24.52 million barrels. πͺ Despite the dip, Corn Belt ethanol margins remain healthy, running 10-40 cents positive per Reuters data.