Episode Details

Griffin Warner talks betting for Wednesday. Griffin Warner runs through the entire Wednesday, August 5 Major League Baseball card, weighing all fifteen games with a bettor's eye for pitching matchups, bullpen depth, and lines that have drifted away from where they should sit. He opens by noting that an Arizona play from Tuesday, August 4th is still pending grading since he had not yet watched the game, then moves straight into fresh numbers built for tonight. At 1:01 he starts with the 2:10 Eastern opener between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, where Jameson Taillon draws a plus one hundred fifty six underdog price against Hunter Brown that Warner thinks is too generous given how hard Taillon has been hit lately, especially with Toronto not as weak a club as its trade deadline selling might suggest. At 1:47 the show shifts to Wrigley Field, where Eric Lauer and a slumping Dodgers club face Shota Imanaga and a short favorite Cubs team, with early wind direction and a shaky Dodgers bullpen weighing on the analysis. At 2:48 Carson Whisenhunt and a thinned out Giants roster head to Texas to face Cody Bradford and a shorthanded Rangers bullpen, and at 3:48 Nick Martinez brings his pitch to contact style to Coors Field against Tomoyuki Sugano and a Rockies club playing better lately, with Warner leaning to the over. The night slate opens at 4:49 in Baltimore with Reid Detmers facing Trevor Rogers in a well pitched matchup, before Warner covers Jake Irvin visiting Andrew Painter and the Phillies at 5:19, leaning to the over given Washington's thin bullpen. The centerpiece arrives at 5:49, where Christian Scott and the Mets face Tanner Bibee and the Guardians, a breakdown that includes a recap of Tuesday's wild Cleveland finish, a costly infield mistake from Gabriel Arias, a three run homer from Luis Torrens, and lingering questions about Jose Ramirez and a hamate bone injury, feeding into the preference for Cleveland's bullpen that anchors the show's featured pick. From there Warner works through Jacob Lopez against Rhett Lowder and the Reds at 7:50, Andre Pallante against Will Warren and the Yankees at 8:05, with a lighthearted aside about a former Oklahoma basketball player sharing Warren's last name, and Sean Burke against Sonny Gray and a favored Red Sox club at 8:51, leaning toward a low scoring game at Fenway. At 9:36 he backs Eury Perez on the road against Bryce Elder and the Braves, calling Miami the side he wants most on the card, before turning at 10:22 to a rare plus money look at Paul Skenes against Kyle Harrison and the Brewers, questioning whether hitters have started to solve one of the sport's most talked about arms. At 11:22 Ian Kramer faces Noah Cameron and a surprisingly favored Royals club, and at 12:38 Casey Mize finally starts for San Diego against Mitch Bratt and the Diamondbacks, a matchup tied to the trade that sent Merrill Kelly home to Arizona. The card closes at 13:39 in Seattle, where Drew Anderson and the Tigers face Bryan Woo and the Mariners, with Warner raising real doubts about whether Woo is still the pitcher he was in past seasons, particularly on the road. Along the way he touches on bullpen usage, trade deadline fallout across both leagues, and the situational spots where a short favorite or an inflated underdog number creates room for value, all delivered with the loose, conversational tone regular listeners expect. At 15:40 he shares a promo code for pregame dot com worth fifty dollars off his Major League Baseball Second Half All Access package, dropping the price to two hundred ninety nine dollars for the rest of the season through the World Series, and notes he enters the night up twenty four units on the year despite a recent rough patch. He closes at 16:10 with his featured best bet of the episode, the Cleveland Guardians at minus one hundred three over the New York Mets, built on the idea that New York needs to jump ahead early behind a carefully managed Christian Scott and