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What I Bet - Monday August 3rd

Published 4 days, 21 hours ago
Description

Griffin Warner talks betting for Monday. Trade deadline day arrives in the middle of a full Major League Baseball slate, and Griffin Warner spends this episode walking through every game on the board while the deadline itself keeps shifting the ground under several starting pitchers. He opens by noting that the Washington Nationals had already begun trading away pieces in the days before, a familiar pattern for a club that has repeatedly sold off talent once a playoff push stops looking realistic, and that the San Diego Padres spent the weekend as one of the league's biggest question marks, with starter Michael King's turn in the rotation pushed from Sunday to Monday amid persistent trade speculation. At 02:00 Griffin opens with the St. Louis Cardinals traveling to face the New York Yankees, where Michael McGreevy starts on the road opposite Cam Schlittler, New York opening as a minus 193 favorite with St. Louis getting plus 174 and the total sitting at seven and a half at even money in both directions. He questions whether McGreevy's soft contact approach can hold up in a small ballpark and leans to the under on the full game and the first five innings. At 03:17 the card shifts to Pittsburgh, where Pirates prospect Bubba Chandler starts on the road against a Milwaukee Brewers club still working with the return from trading ace Freddy Peralta, whose rights moved again to the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday, and Griffin says the plus 125 underdog price on Chandler is not enough for him while he leans the total toward the over given his doubts about Pittsburgh's bullpen. At 04:02 he covers the Los Angeles Dodgers sending Justin Wrobleski to Chicago to face Matthew Boyd and the Cubs, liking the plus 116 home underdog price on Boyd given the travel the Dodgers faced after Sunday night baseball. At 04:48 he previews Logan Webb and the San Francisco Giants on the road against Cal Quantrill and the Texas Rangers in Arlington, saying he does not trust San Francisco as a minus 107 road favorite and would only get involved if the Giants were available as an underdog with plus money. At 05:49 he breaks down Shane Bieber and the Toronto Blue Jays traveling to face Cristian Javier and the Houston Astros, noting that Bieber himself could be traded before the deadline closes and calling the minus 129 price on Houston a little cheap given how well Javier has pitched out of the bullpen. At 06:19 he covers the Tampa Bay Rays sending Ian Seymour to Colorado to face Michael Lorenzen and the Rockies, expecting Colorado to score plenty while staying away from the over given his concerns about the Rays bullpen holding up its end. At 06:49 he closes the game breakdown with the Padres traveling to Arizona, where Brandon Pfaadt is a minus 110 favorite for the Diamondbacks, saying that price seems cheap and that he leans toward the over on the total and toward Arizona at home, especially if Michael King is unavailable to start for San Diego. At 08:06 Griffin directs listeners to Pregame.com and promo code HIT50 for fifty dollars off his Major League Baseball second half all access package, discounted from three hundred forty nine dollars to two hundred ninety nine dollars for the rest of the season through the World Series, noting the package has been up twenty four units during the current promotional window and has run north of thirty units at points this season. He wraps the episode at 09:07 with his best bet, acknowledging a loss last time out on Cleveland against Arizona before landing on Houston Astros minus 129 over the Toronto Blue Jays as the play he trusts most on a trade deadline day card shaped as much by roster uncertainty as by the numbers themselves.


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