Episode Details

Hurricane season’s been unusually calm so far—only two storms have formed, and Cristobal is still on hold. Why? El Niño’s strong grip is whipping up hostile winds and dry air from Africa, squashing tropical waves before they can grow. Warm ocean temps aren’t enough to overcome this suppression. While the Atlantic stays quiet, the Eastern Pacific is booming thanks to El Niño’s boost. Expect even more El Niño power ahead—possibly “super” strength—which means Atlantic calm will last. If storms do form later, watch the Gulf and Southeast. August’s forecast update could reveal how intense this El Niño gets—and whether we’re in for a quiet or wild September.

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