Episode Details

In 2011, I recommended Dollar Vigilantes to buy Bitcoin at $3. Just after BTC reached a value of $1.00 for the first time ever, on February 9th, 2011. A few months later, in June, the price of one Bitcoin hit $10, then $30 on Mt. Gox and the rest is history. 

Over the past 15 years I've seen every prediction imaginable. Bitcoin was supposedly going to zero more times than I can count. Then, a few years later, those same people were telling everyone it was going to $1 million.

Neither extreme has ever been helpful.

One of the biggest reasons I've managed to navigate these markets successfully isn't because I claim to know exactly where every top or bottom is. It's because I've surrounded myself with people who have spent the last decade and a half doing one thing, every single day: studying Bitcoin's cycles.

That's why I wanted to kick off Crypto Week by introducing two people many of our subscribers already know well, but who have rarely appeared publicly – Mr. A and Mr. W, the lead analysts behind The Crypto Vigilante (TCV).

If you've ever wondered why our subscribers seem remarkably calm while everyone else is either euphoric or panicking, this interview explains why.

These two guys are true crypto OGs. They’ve been charting Bitcoin daily since 2011 and 2012. They were in the original Bitcoin Talk forums back when it was just a tiny group of cypherpunks. They’ve lived through every single top and bottom in crypto history: $260, $1,200, $20,000, $69,000, and $126,000.

And their calls? Absolutely mind-blowing.

I'll give you just one example. After the whole FTX disaster unfolded, everyone on Crypto Twitter was panicking, yelling that Bitcoin was going to zero. But Mr. A put out an internal call to our staff. He picked a precise date and told us, “I think Bitcoin bottoms right around $15,800.”

I saw that and immediately put in a buy order at that exact number. And that exact number turned out to be the absolute bottom of the entire cycle. I loaded the boat, and it made me a fortune.

Then, when Bitcoin was soaring past $120,000 and the mainstream hype was screaming that $200k was next, Mr. A and Mr. W put out a video soon after telling our subscribers: Now is the time to start selling.

Once again, they nailed the top. While retail traders got dumped on, TCV subscribers locked in massive generational profits and sat comfortably in cash and gold.

To this day, I still tell people about that call because it perfectly illustrates what separates genuine market analysis from noise. While everyone else was reacting emotionally to headlines, Mr. A was looking at probability, historical cycles and market structure.

As Mr. A put it during our conversation: “Every top is different, but every top rhymes”. 

That's a simple sentence, but it explains why experience matters. You can't learn Bitcoin's behaviour from a single cycle. You learn it by living through four or five of them.

One thing that impressed me during this cycle was how early TCV members began preparing for the downturn. While social media influencers were busy posting charts showing $200,000, $300,000 and even $1 million Bitcoin, Mr. A was telling subscribers something very different:

Start taking profits.

It wasn't because he suddenly became bearish on Bitcoin. It was because multiple indicators (price action, timing cycles and proprietary tools the team has developed over many years) all pointed to a high probability that the cycle was nearing completion.

Don’t miss this interview as we talk about why tops are almost always more difficult to call than bottoms, and the value of conviction and not changing your opinion every few days because Twitter has become emotional. We talk about Pirate Chain an