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Brent over $100 and a Crisis Brewing at Refineries

Brent over $100 and a Crisis Brewing at Refineries

Published 1 month, 4 weeks ago
Description

Rey Trevino, Crude Truth Podcast Host, and President at Pecos Operating stops by.

We have a wild stand-up with 8 huge stories. It is fun having guests on the stand-up, and Rey brought the receipts today. The picture above was created by Grok, and it is Clark Savage standing by the tanker “Stan Turley” - I think Grok was having a moment.

With Brent crude surging past $100 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate jumping dramatically, the conversation reveals how Houthi attacks on shipping lanes, Chinese strategic positioning, and disruptions at key maritime chokepoints are reshaping energy markets worldwide. Through an in-depth discussion with energy expert RT Trevino, the podcast challenges prevailing narratives about the energy transition, presenting compelling data that shows fossil fuels still account for 86% of global energy consumption. From Europe’s LNG crisis and America’s emergence as a natural gas superpower to the manufacturing exodus from Canada to the U.S., this episode provides essential context for investors, policymakers, and anyone seeking to understand the complex forces driving energy prices and global economic security in 2026.

1. Oil Price Surge & Global Geopolitical Tensions

Brent crude has surged above $100/barrel, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jumping from $81 to $91. This spike is driven by geopolitical instability, particularly Houthi attacks on tankers in the Bab El-Mandab Strait and the Red Sea, which are disrupting global oil supply routes and forcing tankers to take longer routes around the world.

2. Strategic Chokepoints & Supply Chain Disruptions

The podcast discusses critical maritime chokepoints—the Bab El-Mandab Strait, Suez Canal, and Panama Canal—all facing disruptions. VLCCs (Very Large Crude Carriers, carrying ~2 million barrels each) cannot fully load through the Suez Canal, and the Panama Canal is experiencing drought conditions. These disruptions add months to shipping times and significantly impact global energy markets.

3. China’s Strategic Positioning & U.S. Energy Policy

The hosts explore China’s role in global energy dynamics, including its partnership with Iran and the Houthis, and how President Trump’s sanctions on Venezuelan and Iranian oil are affecting global supply. There’s discussion of a Chinese military base in Yemen and how U.S. strategic bombing targets infrastructure supplying Iran.

4. LNG Supply Crisis & Europe’s Energy Dependency

Europe faces an LNG supply crisis, forcing buyers toward coal and natural gas. The podcast highlights the hypocrisy of European nations sanctioning Russia while importing 90% of Russia’s LNG. Germany’s decision to blow up coal plants and Japan’s mothballing of nuclear facilities are criticized as short-sighted energy policy.

5. U.S. Natural Gas as the Future

The U.S. is positioned as the “Saudi Arabia of natural gas” and is exporting record amounts to Europe. The podcast emphasizes natural gas as a critical energy source and advocates for expanded infrastructure and production.

6. Grid Reliability & Energy Mix Reality

Using Texas ERCOT as an example, the discussion shows that despite renewable energy investments, fossil fuels remain essential. Natural gas provided 62% of grid power, wind 25%, and solar dropped to zero at night. The grid required battery storage to prevent blackouts, demonstrating the unreliability of intermittent renewables.

7. Global Energy Statistics

Key data points: 86% of the world’s energy still comes from fossil fuels (gasoline, diesel, transportation), and 57% of global electricity is generated from fossil fuels. This underscores that the energy transition is actually an “energy addition,” not a replacement.

8. Manufacturing Shift from Canada to the U.S.

A KPMG survey shows 42% of Canadian manufacturers have moved or are moving production to the United States, driven by pro-business U.S. policies and concerns about supply chain dependency on

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