Episode Details

Israel’s return to southern Lebanon stirs haunting echoes of its 2000 withdrawal—a move once seen as a strategic blunder, now backed by a majority of Israelis. Former PM Ehud Barak, who warned back then that occupation would become the mission itself, fears history is repeating. The current push, triggered by Hezbollah’s retaliation for Iran strikes, has entrenched Israeli control amid a fragile framework to disarm Hezbollah. While Israel insists on a security buffer to shield northern towns, a diplomatic window may be opening: Lebanon’s new president, hostile to Hezbollah and open to ceasefire talks, could help rebuild a stronger Lebanese state—even as Iran’s grip loosens. This time, the stakes are different, and the path to peace might just lie in reshaping regional power.

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