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Research Priorities for the Next 18 Months: Where Autonomous Coding Should Go Next
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Research Priorities: The Next 18 Months of Autonomous Coding
AI-powered coding assistants are already transforming software development. By late 2025, tools like GitHub Copilot and AI chatbots are being used daily by most developers, and even non-programmers can prototype code with simple prompts. Google’s CEO notes that this trend – often called “vibe coding” – is making programming more approachable for non-technical staff (www.itpro.com). However, real-world deployments have exposed important gaps. AI-generated code often contains subtle bugs, fails on complex projects, and raises accountability and policy issues. To move from lab demos to reliable production systems, we need focused research on four fronts: reliability, long-horizon planning, verifiability, and socio-technical governance. Below we outline key open problems and propose research agendas, benchmarks, and collaborations to tackle them.
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