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How the Fed Reads the Falling Participation Rate
Season 3
Episode 106
Published 20 hours ago
Description
In this episode, Lucas and Luna examine the latest labor force participation data, which has fallen to its lowest level in 50 years outside the pandemic. They explore how this trend is reshaping the Fed's inflation and rate outlook, using recent numbers like the June payrolls miss of 57,000 and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate dipping to 2.23 percent. The hosts also discuss why the Fed now focuses on real rates and core PCE, and what the declining participation means for wage pressures and future rate decisions.