Episode Details

Russia is still advancing in Ukraine, but that is not the same thing as winning. Russian forces are making ity-bity gains at a pace that would push any realistic Donbas timeline years into the future, while Ukraine is striking Crimea, logistics, fuel, refineries, missile production, and the vulnerable rear areas Russia depends on to keep this war going. If Russia needs rapid advances to succeed, the battlefield math is turning against them.

0:00 Russia is moving too slowly to win

0:58 Girkin warns Crimea is being prepared

1:49 Ukraine’s Crimea strike campaign gives hope

2:13 Russia’s deadlines are divorced from reality

3:30 False reports, flag-raising, and fake advances

4:44 The Donbas math: Russia’s real timeline

5:52 Ukraine targets Russia’s refinery weak points

6:57 Russia mistreats its own soldiers

7:27 Russians search for when the war ends

8:02 October mobilization rumors change the equation

9:00 Sweden warns Russia remains a long-term threat

11:20 Shoutout, comments, and the Kaliningrad folder question

#Ukraine #Russia #Donbas #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #Crimea #Putin #NATO #MilitaryAnalysis #ProfessorGerdes

Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.

***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: *****

Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplains

Buy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdes

Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdes

YouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership

🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukraine

https://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/

*****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: *****

🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperience

Amazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address)

https://a.co/iodWsUK

Amazon Shopping List for EU/UK

https://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/...

Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USA

https://www.gregterry.org/donate.html

Link for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Information

https://www.gregterry.org/donate.html

🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse:

https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=F