Episode Details

She’s the woman behind the famous Sahm Rule — an economic indicator that flags when a recession is ahead — and on a day we saw a slowdown in hiring and just one day prior to the new jobs report, Claudia Sahm, who spent 12 years as an economist at the Fed, sits down with Maggie Lake and gives her expert insights into jobs and “job hugging”, a potential recession, AI and an insider’s view into Kevin Warsh and the new Fed. If you want to know what’s ahead, it’s a must see interview. 💡 Claudia Sahm explains why a recession isn't her base case—but that doesn't mean investors should be complacent. Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors to prepare for multiple economic scenarios: https://bit.ly/4bmDXOq 💡Attend Rick Rules’ Natural Resource Symposium in Boca Raton this July, click here for in-person and virtual tickets: https://cvent.me/XOqdLa?via=Wealthion Chapters: 00:00 Claudia Sahm: Why She's Not Predicting a Recession 03:57 Is the Stock Market Propping Up the Economy? 07:34 The Truth About Today's Labor Market 08:25 Will AI Actually Destroy Jobs? 10:44 Why Hiring Has Stalled Despite a Strong Economy 13:40 Should the Fed Overhaul Economic Data? 18:36 Is the Federal Reserve About to Stop Communicating? 23:29 Why Less Fed Transparency Could Backfire 27:20 Is the Fed Turning More Hawkish on Inflation? 31:38 Does the Fed Change Policy Because of Elections? 34:12 Final Thoughts Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #PortfolioReview #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #Economy #Recession #FederalReserve #Fed #Inflation #InterestRates #LaborMarket #Jobs #AI #StockMarket #USEconomy #EconomicOutlook #Macro #Markets #EconomicData #MonetaryPolicy #Employment ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests and our hosts do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion or the views of their respective employers. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields.   While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests and hosts, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion or their respective employers. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor.   We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so.   The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.

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