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Housing Affordability Has New Baseline
Description
Housing affordability isn’t bouncing back — and waiting for rates to drop won’t fix it. Morgan Stanley warns the “lock-in effect” is locking millions in, keeping inventory low while new construction can’t catch up. First-time buyers now face higher incomes, down payments, and credit scores, with average mortgage balances over $330K. Even if rates fall to 4-5%, affordability won’t return to pre-2022 levels. The market’s settled into a tighter, tougher reality — patience won’t work, adaptability will.
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