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How the Fed Is Reading the May CPI Spike
Season 2
Episode 51
Published 3 weeks, 6 days ago
Description
In episode 51 of The Federal Reserve Podcast, Lucas and Luna break down what the Fed actually focuses on in the May CPI report — not the headline 4.2% number making the news, but the shift in core services ex-housing and the unexpected jump in used car prices. They connect the inflation data to the Fed's neutral rate debate, the ECB's rate hike, and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate ticking up to 2.31%. Lucas explains why this CPI print complicates the Fed's path to cutting rates, while Luna pushes back on whether one month of data should change the outlook. A focused conversation on what the Fed's models are picking up right now.