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Why the Fed Is Watching the Yield Curve Uninversion
Season 2
Episode 58
Published 3 weeks, 3 days ago
Description
Episode 58 of The Federal Reserve Podcast with Fexingo: Lucas and Luna drill into the yield curve's recent uninversion after two years inverted. They break down what the shift from 4.43% on the ten-year to 3.63% on the two-year actually signals for recession risk, bank lending, and Fed policy. With the S&P 500 near 7,500 and markets pricing rate cuts, the hosts ask whether the curve is finally normalizing or just sending a delayed warning. Packed with specific data points and anchored to the latest FOMC thinking, this episode connects the dots between the curve, the neutral rate, and the economy's surprising resilience.