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Strait Reopens But Oil Supply Takes Months
Description
The Strait of Hormuz is officially open again after months of conflict, but don’t expect instant relief for global oil markets. Even with the waterway cleared, getting tankers moving, restarting production, and restoring supply chains will take weeks—or even months. With ships needing up to 50 days to reach Asia, cautious captains, complex insurance hurdles, and potential mine-clearing delays, normalization is far from guaranteed. Complicating matters further, Iran’s rumored toll demands could trigger sanctions issues, while oil producers like Saudi Arabia and the UAE may recover faster thanks to alternative routes. Prices won’t drop overnight, and inflation could climb as temporary fuel subsidies expire. Normal supply levels won’t return quickly—and that’s going to keep pressure on prices well into next year.
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