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What the Fed Makes of the May CPI Print
Season 1
Episode 43
Published 1 month ago
Description
On June 10, 2026, the May consumer price index landed at 4.2 percent annual inflation — the highest in three years. Lucas and Luna break down exactly what the Fed sees in that number: which components are sticky, which are transient, and why the bond market's reaction (ten-year breakevens actually dipped) suggests the central bank might not need to hike. They look at the split between core services ex-housing and energy, the New York Fed's household anxiety survey hitting a four-year high, and how the Fed's communications team is likely to frame this ahead of the July FOMC meeting. No hot takes — just what the data says and what it means for policy.