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Canadian economy dying slowly, painfully and in darkness

Canadian economy dying slowly, painfully and in darkness

Published 4 days, 14 hours ago
Description

►The PBO has cut Canada's 2026 growth forecast to 1.1%, with Scotiabank projecting 0.8% and BMO projecting 0.5%, as real GDP per capita remains below pre-pandemic levels, labour productivity has been flat or negative since 2021 and business investment has fallen for 5 consecutive quarters►Statistics Canada reports Canada added 88,000 jobs in May and unemployment fell to 6.6%, driven entirely by full-time work, but critics note the surge coincides with FIFA World Cup hiring in Vancouver and Toronto, raising questions about whether the gain reflects structural improvement or a temporary spike that will reverse in August►Ontario recorded its worst non-pandemic quarterly job losses since the mid-1970s as Canada enters a technical recession, with the only consistent employment growth coming from government payrolls rather than private sector hiring►Finance Minister Champagne is accused of misleading Canadians on the 2025 deficit after the Parliamentary Budget Office revealed the true shortfall was $71.8 billion versus his claimed $66.9 billion, with analysts calculating a 99% chance the government will miss its ongoing fiscal targets►Parliament has not balanced a budget since 2007, with ongoing deficits now the largest in Canadian history outside the pandemic and the PBO estimating less than 1% chance the deficit-to-GDP ratio will decline every year through 2031►Over 12 million Canadians receive a one-time top-up payment today under the Canada Groceries and Essentials Benefit, which the CRA confirms is simply the existing GST rebate renamed and increased by 25%►Abacus Data finds 43% of Canadians have cut back on home heating or cooling to save money, while 38% say they have been forced to choose between paying energy bills and covering other household expenses►Canadian vehicle sales fell for an 8th straight month in May, down 1.7% to 184,000 units, with the only relief coming from resilient U.S. demand for Canadian-built vehicles►The Alberta pipeline approval process has been delayed again as MOU implementation stalls, with TC Energy CEO François Poirier's permit streamlining initiative adding months to the timeline despite promises of efficiency►Canada's inclusion on a U.S. forced labour tariff list of up to 12.5% is particularly pointed given Carney's decision to allow 49,000 Chinese EVs annually with components linked to Uyghur forced labour camps in Xinjiang, the exact source of goods the U.S. is using to justify the new tariffs►Carney's AI for All strategy targets $200 billion in economic growth and 250,000 new jobs over 5 years while acknowledging Canada ranks 44th of 47 countries on AI literacy and only 12% of Canadian businesses currently use AI, well behind Nordic leaders at 29 to 42%►University of Ottawa law professor Michael Geist says the AI strategy lacks detail and is contradicted by the government's own actions, noting the same day it was released the Liberals pushed ahead with Bill C-22, which he says "quite frankly actively undermines" the privacy protections the strategy claims to prioritize►Treasury Board executive Brian Gear testifies Canadians' faith in public institutions is in decline as the Lobbying Commissioner discloses more than a dozen individuals breached the Lobbying Act but none have been charged or publicly named across 19 RCMP referrals, with the last prosecution dating to 2017►Leger poll finds 73% of Albertans want to remain in Canada while only 15% support independence, yet 57% consider the separation movement "very or somewhat serious," as Treaty 8 Grand Chief Trevor Mercredi threatens to blockade Alberta highways if the October referendum proceeds without First Nations consultation Let us know what you think in the comments.

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