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Tasmania’s Population Crisis
Description
Tasmania’s population growth has plummeted to its lowest in a century, sparking alarm as the state faces potential natural decline by 2028 or 2029. Once booming with nearly 50,000 new residents between 2016 and 2021, Tasmania now relies on overseas migration to offset shrinking numbers—especially as young adults flee for opportunities elsewhere. Experts warn this trend threatens economic stability, exacerbating workforce shortages and shrinking tax revenues from payroll and stamp duty. With a target of 650,000 residents by 2050, the real challenge lies in making Tasmania more attractive through improved healthcare, education, and family-friendly services—otherwise, the state risks becoming Australia’s first to experience natural population decline.
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