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How Central Banks Use Moral Suasion
Description
Episode 22 of Monetary Policy Explained with Fexingo. Lucas and Luna drill into one of central banking's oldest and least-understood tools: moral suasion. Not jawboning or press conferences — the quiet, off-the-record phone calls where a central bank governor asks a bank CEO to pull back on lending or hold off on a dividend. Lucas traces the tactic back to the Bank of England's 'governor's eyebrow' in the 1960s, then walks through a modern case: the Bank of Japan's 2024 direct appeals to regional banks to stop hoarding government bonds. Luna pushes on whether it actually works or just creates regulatory arbitrage, and they land on a sharp take: moral suasion is most powerful when the central bank has a credible threat in its back pocket — but it can backfire badly if the market senses weakness. One concrete number: in a 2023 IMF working paper, moral suasion was found to alter bank lending by roughly 3 to 5 percent in emerging economies during currency crises. No ads, no fluff — just one focused angle in under 12 minutes.