Episode Details

Science Applications International (SAIC) Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison. THE CALL: HOLD (3/5 conviction, MODERATE) - CURRENT @ $122.41 -> HOLD - BUY below $105.00 with $88.00 stop - AVOID above $140.00 TRIGGER: A confirmed book-to-bill above 1.2x for two consecutive quarters would upgrade our view WINDOW: 12-18 months to see if margin expansion is structural WALL STREET CONSENSUS - Ratings: 3 Strong Buy / 8 Buy / 7 Hold / 1 Sell / 0 Strong Sell -> BUY - Median 12-month PT: $128.00 (range $100 - $155) THESIS SAIC is a federal IT integrator that proved margin discipline can offset flat revenue growth; Q1 FY2027 EPS of two sixty one smashed estimates on three hundred basis points of operating margin expansion. Bull lever: The cheapest Fed IT name on EV-to-sales at zero point seven five times, with an eleven point eight percent FCF yield, sustained backlog above twenty three billion, and proven margin execution. Key risk: Revenue growth of only one and a half percent and ongoing DOGE federal budget uncertainty leave the thesis dependent on margin sustainability and backlog conversion. KEY METRICS - Q1 FY2027 - Revenue: $1.91B (+1.5% YoY) - GAAP EPS: $2.61 (vs $1.60 est, +63.1% beat, +83.8% YoY) - Operating margin: 9.4% (+300 bps YoY, highest in 8 quarters) - Gross margin: 13.1% - Free cash flow: $127M; Net debt $106M - Defense & Intel +3% YoY; Backlog >$23B, book-to-bill >1.0x - FY2027 guide: ~$7.7-7.9B revenue; Adj EPS $8.50-$9.00 DISCLAIMER This is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Charged Alpha does not have a position in SAIC. #SAIC #ScienceApplicationsInternational #earnings #investing #stocks #ChargedAlpha #federalIT #defense #DOGE