Episode Details
Back to EpisodesPATH Stock: BUY Call - First Profit +17% Growth Q1 FY2027
Published 1 month ago
Description
UiPath Q1 FY2027 earnings breakdown - conversational walkthrough with a price-aware verdict and Wall Street consensus comparison.
THE CALL: BUY (3/5 conviction, MODERATE)
- CURRENT @ $11.58 -> BUY
- BUY below $11.00 with $8.50 stop
- AVOID above $16.00
TRIGGER: Q2 print confirms the $395M guide AND ARR growth stabilizes at or above 10%
WINDOW: 12-24 months - agentic-AI monetization and a profitability-driven re-rate
WALL STREET CONSENSUS
- Ratings: 0 Strong Buy / 6 Buy / 16 Hold / 2 Sell / 0 Strong Sell -> HOLD
- Median 12-month PT: $15.00 (range $13 - $19)
THESIS
UiPath is a profitable, net-cash automation platform growing revenue 17% with a 31% free-cash-flow margin, trading near an all-time low after two years of AI-driven de-rating.
Bull lever: Q1 FY27 marks the first Q1 GAAP profit in company history; $1.2 billion of net cash equals one-fifth of the market cap, and management is buying back stock at trough prices.
Key risk: ARR growth has slowed to roughly 10%, agentic-AI competition is intensifying, and stock-based compensation near 53 million dollars a quarter keeps diluting holders.
KEY METRICS - Q1 FY2027
- Revenue: $418M (+17.3% YoY; +5.2% beat)
- GAAP net income: +$22.5M (swung positive from a $22.6M year-ago loss)
- Non-GAAP EPS: $0.15 (in line with Street)
- Operating margin: +6.7% (turned positive)
- Free cash flow: $129M (31% FCF margin); net cash $1.24B
- ARR: $1.86B (+10% YoY)
DISCLAIMER
This is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Charged Alpha does not have a position in UiPath.
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