Episode Details

Semiconductors are ripping, trillion-dollar valuations are becoming the norm, and now the most hyped IPO in years is looming. So… is this the moment everything peaks? On this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, Mark Sebastian, Founder of Option Pit, returns with a view of a market that’s moving faster—and getting more crowded—by the day. From Micron’s explosive run to Nvidia’s “vampire trade” losing steam, Mark explains how capital is rotating across semis in real time—and why he’s not shorting this market, even as signs of froth start to build. He points to Intel (INTC) as proof of how powerful this cycle has been—after flagging it on this show over a year ago, the stock has surged more than 400%, so it's worth listening to his thoughts this time around. Still, he warns that a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran could be a sell-the-news moment, potentially triggering a rotation out of equities just as liquidity gets pulled into the SpaceX IPO and other major AI offerings. 

In the mailbag, Mark tackles everything from Canadian oil to gold, defense, luxury, and broken stocks like Disney (DIS). He makes the case that energy could see one last selloff before becoming a generational buying opportunity, explains why gold’s pullback is more about normalization than weakness, and shares why names like Diageo (DEO) are getting squeezed in a shifting consumer landscape. He also weighs in on Salesforce (CRM), Brookfield Corp. (BN), Brookfield Asset Management (BAM), and why Disney might still be worth holding despite years of frustration.

In Pro Picks, Mark revisits his past calls—highlighting how he traded around winners like Intel (INTC) and Reddit (RDDT), while stepping away from Boeing (BA) after a solid run and staying constructive on Amazon (AMZN). Then he unveils a fresh batch of ideas: from “hidden AI plays” like Deere (DE) and Ford (F), to high-risk/high-reward bets in rare earths like USA Rare Earth and American Resources (AREC). He also shares a surprising contrarian call on Mattel (MAT), tied to what he believes could be the Barbie moment of 2026. This is a masterclass in how traders think about momentum, timing, and risk in a market that refuses to slow down.

Timestamps
00:00 Trailer 

02:15 Intro
02:55 Mark Sebastian returns + lessons learned from Intel
06:55 The semiconductor & memory trade is going gangbusters
11:30 The new tech IPOs: SpaceX: How is it not bubbleicious territory?
16:35 A ceasefire could become a sell the news moment
19:15 Hamilton ETFs: MIX
21:20 ITM Mailbag: Canadian oil stocks 

24:30 Why is gold at a two-month low?
26:05 General Dynamics (GD) 

26:50 Diageo (DEO) & Ferrari’s new EV

30:15 Brookfield & Brookfield Asset Management (BN, BAM)
33:55 Salesforce (CRM)

36:20: Disney (DIS)
41:00: Mark’s Past & Pro Picks ( RDDT, BA, AMZN, DE, F, USAR, AREC)

Sponsors

For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.

Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial.  Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information

The mailbag is sponsored by Hamilton ETFs. For more information on the Hamilton Enhanced Mixed Asset Allocation ETF visit:  https://hamiltonetfs.com/etf/mix/ 

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