Episode Details

The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is testing 5.18%, fundamentally shifting the math for equities, credit, and the traditional 60/40 portfolio. While Wall Street continues to buy the AI tech dream, Oxbow Advisors Founder and Managing Partner Ted Oakley warns of a severe disconnect between the stock market and the real economy.

In this Kitco News exclusive, Oakley breaks down the risks of late-cycle complacency and explains why the passive bid keeping the S&P 500 afloat will eventually dry up. Oakley details the physical energy reality behind the $725 billion AI buildout, sharing exactly why institutions will soon be forced to buy energy stocks, and lists his top pipeline and driller stock picks. He also outlines his contrarian view on precious metals, explaining why gold may need a $500 drop to flush out momentum buyers before its next major leg higher, and reveals the gold and silver miners currently sitting at historic profitability spreads. Finally, Oakley shares his core wealth preservation rules for investors navigating a high-yield environment.

Recorded May 19, 2026

Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron (https://twitter.com/JeremySzafron) 
Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW (https://twitter.com/kitconewsnow) 
Follow Ted Oakley on X: @Oxbow_Advisors (https://twitter.com/Oxbow_Advisors)

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Markets Shifting
01:42 Bond Yields Break the Math
03:21 Fed Policy and Floating Rate Risk
05:29 Passive Investing and Late Cycle Complacency
09:22 AI Buildout Meets Commodity Reality
14:40 Energy Playbook and Stock Picks
22:13 Gold Pullback Setup
23:30 Spotting Momentum Washouts
25:07 Which Miners To Buy
27:36 Family Wealth Rules
29:15 Real Estate And Liquidity Events
37:35 Energy Mispricing Finale 

#Investing #Gold #StockMarket #TedOakley #KitcoNews
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The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.

Disclaimer:  
The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no e