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Monday - May 18, 2026
Description
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4nErXgi
David Bahnsen records Monday’s Dividend Cafe from Miami, noting a prior deep dive on U.S. national debt and then reviewing markets after an S&P 500 “melt up” led by semiconductors, the Mag Seven, and AI, followed by a pullback tied to sharply rising bond yields, with the 10-year near 4.6% and higher yields a potential catalyst for equity weakness. He flags poor market breadth, mentions a $67B Dominion–NextEra utility merger connected to data-center power demand, and highlights AI’s dominance in new high-yield, investment-grade, and venture funding plus global index concentration in semiconductors. He also covers U.S.–China announcements (Boeing planes, agricultural purchases, tariff oversight), Iran uncertainty, industrial production gains, weak homebuilder sentiment, incoming Fed chair Kevin Warsh amid no-cut expectations, and oil near $106 with limited rig-count response.
00:00 Miami Intro and Debt Recap
00:55 Market Pullback and Yield Spike
03:52 Breadth Warning and Utility Merger
05:04 AI Concentration and Momentum Risk
07:43 US China Summit and Iran Tensions
09:47 Economic Data and Fed Outlook
11:46 Oil Surge and Rig Count Reality
12:55 Ask TBG and Sign Off
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com