Episode Details

You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate  Podcast: Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass #633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate In this video: 00:43 - Win Rates in Trading and a Simple Example 01:26 - Percentage Risk for a Trade/Risk Management 02:08 - Client Ryan achieves 9% with a 37.6% win rate 02:46 - Outside world win percentages for Roger Federer, 03:15 - Casino games win rate, need 55%+ 03:57 - Sports betting win rate, need 55%+ 04:48 - 95% traders lose, only hear about the 5% winners, winning AND s 05:33 - 2 ways to react to losing trades, one preferred way 06:17 - Taking the good with the bad: celebrate wins and deal with losses How would you like to be a consistent and profitable trader with a win rate in the mid to high 30s or low to mid 40s? Impossible? It’s not. And how do we react to losing trades? Let’s talk about that and more right now. Hello this is Paul Tillman. I’m the Director of Coaching Services at The Forex Trading Coach here at my home in the Raleigh, North Carolina area. And this is video and podcast number 633. I want to talk to you about 2 things: win rates and losing trades. Win Rates in Trading and a Simple Example So win rates which is simply the number of trades you’re winning divided by total number of trades that you are taking. So let’s do a simple example here. Let’s say you take 2 trades. First 2 trades you lose your risking $100 per trade and you’re down $200. Let’s say the 3rd trade that you take is a winning trade. And your reward to risk is 3 to 1, as in your win is 3 times what your loss is. So you’ve won $300 on that trade. Now if we add that up you have 2 losing trades at -200 and 1 winning trade at +300. So you’ve made a net gain of $100. And with 33.3% win rate. Percentage Risk for a Trade/Risk Management And as always we suggest taking a quarter or a half percent risk on the actual trade that you take. Risk management is very key, and so is consistently getting that reward to risk. So you can be a profitable trader at 33.3%. Now if we extrapolate that on all the trades that we take on our live webinars, on our form site and our chat room area for our daily trade suggestions, which is like a newsletter we put out each weekday. Extrapolate that out to tens and hundreds of trades in a year, and you can do very, very well with a win rate that’s much lower than 50%. Client Ryan achieves 9% with a 37.6% win rate In fact, we had a trader, Ryan, who said for his March trades, he made 9% gain at a half percent risk, with an average awarded to risk of 2.6 to 1 across all his trades. And his win rate was 37.6%. So under 40 with a 9% gain in 1 month. That is incredibly good. And if you could do that every month, you know the sky is the limit with regards to firms and trading retirement accounts or whatever it is, you can do fantastically well now in the outside world, that’s very hard to do to be successful at something at under 50%. Outside world win percentages for Roger Federer, Let’s take a few cases here. Roger Federer, who’s arguably my favorite tennis player and I think one of the best of all time, only won about 54%-55% of all points that he played. Which is crazy to think about how many Grand Slam titles and overall titles that he’s won and he’s only done that percentage. Casino games win rate, need 55%+ Now let’s take 2 other different ventures: the casino. A lot of people are going to casinos on cruises, or if there’s casinos where you are and the house always has about a 1% to 5% edge, depending on what game or what type of hands you’re playing, machines, et cetera, etc. so you’ve got to be in that 53% to 55% win rate range just to break even. And the casinos know this and they have that house edge. So it’s built in. But if you can get over 55%, which is rare, and your casino games and everything are set