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The 90% Win Rate on the Wheel Strategy (Here Is What They Leave Out)

The 90% Win Rate on the Wheel Strategy (Here Is What They Leave Out)

Published 2Β months ago
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Most wheel strategy content shows you the 90 percent win rate, tells you most puts expire worthless, and stops right there β€” which is precisely why so many accounts blow up quietly six months in after a string of clean wins that never accounted for what happens when the losses finally arrive. This video walks through the expectancy math that actually determines long-term profitability, why losses on individual trades cluster across entire portfolios during corrections rather than distributing evenly, and how the covered call phase creates its own version of the same trap by masking a declining stock position behind a high win rate on the calls.
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