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April 10-12 | Ledger Recap
Description
It is April 13, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.
On today’s episode of Ledger Recap, the team analyzes a 15-5 session that yielded +6.2 units. We take an honest look at the portfolio, debating whether conservative position sizing left alpha on the table during the Braves' dominant win over the Guardians and the Mariners' narrow victory over the Astros. Marcus flags significant grading anomalies in MLB outcomes and explains why transparency is the core of our desk's philosophy.
We also dive into the NBA hardwood, where the Knicks clinched the Eastern Conference three-seed. We discuss how the market miscalculated the odds for Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns, providing a roadmap for trading high-stakes end-of-season games. Whether you are placing bets on Kalshi or Polymarket, this episode provides the strategic evolution needed to refine your conviction levels and risk-based accounting.
Key Highlights:
- Accountability on the scorecard: 344 wins on the year.
- MLB Film Room: Why deGrom vs. the Dodgers created a volatile betting environment.
- NHL Bad Beats: Lessons learned from the Penguins vs. Capitals matchup.
- The Playbook: Applying price discounts to player prop contracts in clinching scenarios.
Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com
"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/