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E32 vs. E10: Why Brazil is Lapping the US on Ethanol

Published 2Β months, 3Β weeks ago
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Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com

Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links β€”

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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🌽 Corn is drifting lower despite a strong crude oil market, with funds trimming their net long position from recent highs. Ample old crop stocks and sufficient 2026 acreage estimates are keeping the bears in control.

🌾 Wheat tumbled to its lowest level since early March after a bearish USDA report showed surging US and world ending stocks. Drought remains a concern in HRW wheat areas, but the market is struggling to find bullish footing.

🫘 Soybeans are holding up better, with large money managers defending a hefty net long position near 190k contracts. US balance sheets could get tight with current acreage estimates β€” any weather hiccup could be a game changer.

πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Brazil is eyeing a jump in its ethanol blend from 30% to 32% to ease consumer fuel costs amid rising global oil prices. The move would boost sugarcane demand and help mills struggling with oversupply and tight margins.

πŸ“Š USDA WASDE kept US corn and soybean ending stocks steady while raising wheat stocks to their highest since 2020. World corn stocks were revised higher but remain at an 11-year low, while world soybean stocks were trimmed below expectations.

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