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The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and $82 is the Floor, and Goldman says we may see $100 for the rest of 2026
Description
The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and we have 9 huge stories to cover on today's Energy News Beat Stand Up. I am calculating that $82 will be the new floor after we get the tankers rolled out of the Persian Gulf and refilled. I go through all of that and how I came up with that number.
1. Oil and Gas Market DynamicsThe conversation extensively covers the energy market, including:
- Potential impacts of Strait of Hormuz closure on oil pricing (predictions of $82 floor and $100 as a possibility)
- Global supply disruptions from Middle East production shutdowns
- Refining capacity constraints in the Gulf region due to physical attacks
- OPEC production trends and market implications
A significant focus on how international conflicts affect energy markets:
- U.S./Israel-Iran conflict and its ripple effects on global energy supply
- Analysis of how major oil corporations (Exxon Mobil, Chevron) are positioned amid tensions
- Potential peace scenarios linked to Venezuela sanctions
Discussion of rapid infrastructure growth in the U.S.:
- Explosive expansion of data centers, particularly in Texas
- Strain on state power grids from this growth
- Comparative analysis of data center development across Texas, Virginia, and Georgia
Critical examination of renewable energy economics:
- Long-standing wind farm subsidies and their effectiveness
- Challenges of pricing energy while accounting for externalities
- Feasibility of meeting 100% energy demand through wind and solar
1.It Will Take Months for the Oil, Gas and LNG Markets to Stabilize, and the New Floor Is Around $82
2.The Saudi East-West Pipeline has been attacked. Still functional, and damage assessment is underway.
3.ExxonMobil Sees 6% of Global Output Impacted by Iran War, But What Does This Mean for Q1 and Q2?
4.Goldman Says Another Month Means Over $100 Brent Through 2026
5.JP Morgan’s Letter to Investors: Implications and Actions
6.How will the global oil and gas markets look post Iran War
7.Chevron Faces Smaller Mideast Disruptions Than ExxonMobil Amid Iran War – A Side-by-Side Comparison
8.Texas is leading in AI and Data Centers, but at what cost?