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The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and $82 is the Floor, and Goldman says we may see $100 for the rest of 2026

The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and $82 is the Floor, and Goldman says we may see $100 for the rest of 2026

Published 2 weeks ago
Description

The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and we have 9 huge stories to cover on today's Energy News Beat Stand Up. I am calculating that $82 will be the new floor after we get the tankers rolled out of the Persian Gulf and refilled. I go through all of that and how I came up with that number.

1. Oil and Gas Market Dynamics

The conversation extensively covers the energy market, including:

  • Potential impacts of Strait of Hormuz closure on oil pricing (predictions of $82 floor and $100 as a possibility)
  • Global supply disruptions from Middle East production shutdowns
  • Refining capacity constraints in the Gulf region due to physical attacks
  • OPEC production trends and market implications
2. Geopolitical Tensions and Energy Security

A significant focus on how international conflicts affect energy markets:

  • U.S./Israel-Iran conflict and its ripple effects on global energy supply
  • Analysis of how major oil corporations (Exxon Mobil, Chevron) are positioned amid tensions
  • Potential peace scenarios linked to Venezuela sanctions
3. Data Center and Energy Infrastructure Expansion

Discussion of rapid infrastructure growth in the U.S.:

  • Explosive expansion of data centers, particularly in Texas
  • Strain on state power grids from this growth
  • Comparative analysis of data center development across Texas, Virginia, and Georgia
4. Renewable Energy and Subsidy Policy

Critical examination of renewable energy economics:

  • Long-standing wind farm subsidies and their effectiveness
  • Challenges of pricing energy while accounting for externalities
  • Feasibility of meeting 100% energy demand through wind and solar

1.It Will Take Months for the Oil, Gas and LNG Markets to Stabilize, and the New Floor Is Around $82

2.The Saudi East-West Pipeline has been attacked. Still functional, and damage assessment is underway.

3.ExxonMobil Sees 6% of Global Output Impacted by Iran War, But What Does This Mean for Q1 and Q2?

4.Goldman Says Another Month Means Over $100 Brent Through 2026

5.JP Morgan’s Letter to Investors: Implications and Actions

6.How will the global oil and gas markets look post Iran War

7.Chevron Faces Smaller Mideast Disruptions Than ExxonMobil Amid Iran War – A Side-by-Side Comparison

8.Texas is leading in AI and Data Centers, but at what cost?

9.Wind Farms Have Had 50 Years of Subsid

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