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These warnings are framed as predicting exactly the kind of fuel shock Australia faced in early 2026 (service station outages, price spikes, rationing preparations, and economic strain), with the government accused of prioritizing net zero transitions over stockpiling or refining capacity. Military exercise/war-game simulation report (referenced as occurring roughly 8 months before the video, so around mid-to-late 2025):

A large-scale defense-related drill simulating operations in a scenario lacking energy independence. It reportedly showed diesel supplies depleting extremely quickly, forcing competition between the military, civilians, agriculture, mining, emergency services, and other sectors. The executive summary allegedly concluded Australia was unprepared for major disruptions or incursions. This was reportedly sent to the Prime http://Minister.seemorerocks.substack.com

NEMA "Exercise Convergence" (Convergence Led Civil Multicrisis Exercise), held 26–28 May 2025: Run by the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), involving ~314 government agencies and ~20 nonprofits. It simulated a major drop in fuel imports leading to shortages, panic buying, civil unrest, societal breakdown, and broader multicrisis impacts (with fuel prices potentially hitting $4/litre in worst-case scenarios).

The exercise reportedly identified an energy shortfall as Australia's single biggest risk—directly at odds with net zero priorities—and was allegedly the first to be "quashed."http://seemorerocks.substack.com "Diesel:

The Hidden Weak Point in Australia’s Strategic Resilience" report, dated 7 August 2025: Authored by Michael Sharpe (CEO of the AUKUS Forum). It warned of Australia's extreme diesel vulnerability (only 21–25 days of reserves at the time, with over 90% imported and much stored offshore in the US).

It referenced a 2025 war-game showing rapid depletion, logistics collapse, government paralysis, and risks of prolonged economic disruption, supply chain failures (especially agriculture/logistics), panic buying, looting, civil unrest, and secondary issues like biosecurity outbreaks.

Recommendations included building federally controlled onshore diesel rese