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3-23-26 200-DMA Broken – Bear Market or Buy Signal
Published 3 weeks, 1 day ago
Description
The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red.
Lance Roberts comments in real-time as news of a delay in miliary strikes on Iran power stations affects pre-market action.
Lance also breaks down every 200-DMA break since 2000, separating the seven sustained crashes from the five whipsaw recoveries. The data gap is stark: average 12-month return after a sustained break is -4.0%, versus +19.8% after a brief one. We walk through the six-factor scorecard and tell you exactly where today's break stands.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
0:00 - INTRO
1:14 - Market Volatility & End of Quarter
4:20 - Claude.AI & Tokens
6:42 - Houston Meteor
7:25 - Markets Break 200-DMA
13:54 - How Markets Work with Catalysts
18:50 - When markets Break the 200-DMA
25:13 - Paying Attention to Sentiment
27:26 - How to Differentiate between Brief vs Sustained Breaks
31:08 - What to do Next
34:18 - Why CDX Spreads Matter
39:44 - Dollar Plumbing, Gold, & Central Banks
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"The 200-DMA Just Broke: What Every Investor Should Know"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-200-dma-just-broke-what-every-investor-should-know/
"The Dollar’s Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-plumbing-conspiracy-vs-data/
"CDX: Credit Spreads Are Flashing A Warning"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cdx-credit-spreads-are-flashing-a-warning/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures" is here:
https://youtu.be/9qem93AR4jI
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