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Ed Yardeni: I Just Raised My Recession Odds

Ed Yardeni: I Just Raised My Recession Odds

Published 4 days, 22 hours ago
Description

💡Ed sees increasing risks but says corrections are buying opportunities, not reasons to panic. Want a second opinion? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4rJ4tqx


Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, joins Maggie Lake to assess whether the current inflation spike is structural or a passing shock. Ed has raised his recession odds from 20% to 35%, but still gives 60% to his roaring 2020s thesis, crediting productivity growth that separates today from the 1970s. He explains why the Magnificent Seven's PE drop from 31 to 25 makes them attractive again, and how baby boomers' $85 trillion in net worth is quietly keeping the economy afloat. Ed lays out his case for both the S&P 500 and gold reaching 10,000 by the end of the decade. He warns the real danger is a layering of shocks: oil, inflation, AI displacement, and private credit, each manageable alone but potentially recessionary in combination.


💡With recession odds rising and Ed still calling for $10,000 gold, positioning in real assets has never mattered more. Join Wealthion's Real Assets Community: https://wealthion.com/getready


💡Ed's been calling gold right since $2,000. His next target: $6,000 this year, $10,000 by end of decade. GBI Direct, The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://gbidirect.com/?aff=WTH


💡Attend Rick Rules’ Natural Resource Symposium in Boca Raton this July, click here for in-person and virtual tickets: https://cvent.me/XOqdLa?via=Wealthion


Chapters:

0:35 - Do We Have a Structural Inflation Problem?

7:51 - Will War Disruptions Hit Corporate Earnings?

9:55 - Is a Recession Finally Coming This Time?

11:44 - Where Is the Earnings Resilience Actually Coming From?

15:38 - Are We Dancing on the Deck of the Titanic?

19:33 - Will AI's Job Threat Offset the Productivity Boom?

23:14 - How Should Investors Position Their Portfolios Right Now?

26:53 - Will Gold and Silver Resume Their Rally?

30:28 - ⭐️WealthiGold at $10,000: Portfolio Hedge or Market Signal?

33:29 - Is the Bond Market Still a Safe Haven?


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IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests and our hosts do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion or the views of their respective employers. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields.

 

While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests and hosts, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion or their respective employers. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor.

 

We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey

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