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Trump to Host Farmers for Big Party - Is He Losing Rural Support??

Published 3Β months, 1Β week ago
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Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com

Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links β€”

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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🌽 White House Biofuels Event & RVO Decision
President Trump is hosting a major ag event next week with farmers and biofuel producers πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Comes just ahead of the 2026–2027 blending mandate decision
Potential increase in mandates = stronger demand for ethanol & biodiesel
⚠️ Refiners pushing back, warning of higher fuel prices
Timing matters with Middle East conflict already pressuring energy markets

πŸ’Έ Rising Farm Costs Becoming Political
War-driven input inflation is hitting farmers hard 🚜
Fertilizer + fuel costs surging right before planting
Margins already tight due to weak grain prices
Could impact rural sentiment ahead of midterms πŸ—³οΈ
Higher farm costs = potential food inflation pressure πŸ”

🌾 Wheat Market Update
Wheat futures slipped Tuesday πŸ“‰
Chicago wheat ~ $5.90, KC wheat ~ $6.07
Cold temps + ongoing dryness in the Plains
Forecast: hot + dry β†’ then cooldown
Russia still undercutting U.S. on price 🌍

🌍 Trump Delays China Trip
Trade tensions stay in focus πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
Visit pushed back 5–6 weeks
Trump ties trip to China helping reopen Hormuz
Treasury says delay is logistical

⏳ Delays progress on ag trade talks (soybeans!)
Meanwhile:
Strait of Hormuz effectively closed 🚒
Iranian attacks continue across the region
Energy markets remain on edge

πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Brazil Soybean Export Problems
Brazil facing fresh export disruptions 🚫
China tightening inspection standards
Issues: insects, damage, treated beans
Cargill paused some shipments
Local soybean bids have collapsed in some areas

Officials heading to China to try and fix it 🀝
πŸ‘‰ This could shift demand back toward the U.S. if it drags on

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