Episode Details

Former Fed officials predict higher inflation and unemployment due to the Iran conflict, with three percent inflation and a four point six percent jobless rate. The Feds March policy meeting looms, with markets expecting steady rates and any cuts likely pushed to December. The Middle East war is seen as a major supply shock, with oil prices spiking and disrupting global flows. No recession is expected now, but risks rise if oil stays above one hundred dollars per barrel long-term or hits one hundred twenty dollars. Market watchers anticipate oil pressures could delay rate cuts, heighten volatility, and squeeze spending.

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