Episode Details

New Poll: SNP Leads, Greens Surge; Labour at Risk of Fourth Place in Scottish Elections

A YouGov poll for the Scottish Election Study shows the SNP leading with 34% constituency and 28% list votes, followed by Reform UK at 18% and 19% respectively. Labour trails at 14% in both categories. The Greens have 11% constituency and 16% list support. Projections give the SNP 57 seats, Reform 22, Greens 16, and Labour just 15. Anti-incumbent sentiment may impact UK parties, with Reform drawing voters from the Conservatives and Labour. Only 32% of Labours 2021 general election supporters plan to stick with them in 2026. Turnout and tactical voting could determine if the SNP governs alone.

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