Episode Details

Will Doctor gives the sharpest picks and preview for the action at PGA National. Will Doctor sets the stage for the Cognizant Classic at PGA National by dissecting the odds board and targeting value in a wide open field. Ryan Gerrard opens as the favorite at 19 to 1, but Doctor views that number as inflated given Gerrard’s inconsistent first round scoring and recent finishes of 45th at Pebble and 28th at Riviera. With Gerrard ranked 120th in first round scoring average and teeing off Thursday afternoon, Doctor prefers to wait for a potential live opportunity rather than invest pre tournament. Shane Lowry, also listed at 19 to 1, draws far more interest. Lowry arrives with back to back top 25 finishes, including a tie for eighth at Pebble, and has putted well in consecutive starts. A historically positive Bermuda putter with three top five finishes in his last four appearances at PGA National, Lowry profiles as both an outright contender and Doctor’s best bet to finish top 10 at plus 160. Among the Hojgaard twins, Doctor passes on both despite strong putting trends for Rasmus and recent flashes from Nicolai, citing driving accuracy concerns and inconsistent early round form. He also fades Brooks Koepka at 33 to 1, noting persistent putting struggles, and takes a cautious stance on Keith Mitchell and Daniel Berger, each of whom owns strong course history but arrives with shaky recent results and cold putters. Aaron Rye emerges as a prime target. Fresh off a positive putting week at Riviera and a victory three months ago at the Abu Dhabi HSBC, where he held off a loaded leaderboard, Rye’s comfort on Bermuda and steady ball striking make him appealing at 43 to 1. Doctor locks in Rye over Thorbjorn Olesen in a matchup and includes him among three outright selections alongside Lowry and Mac Meisner. Meisner, priced at 55 to 1, carries strong Bermuda form with a runner up at Sedgefield and top 20 finishes in Jackson and at the RSM. Despite modest past results at PGA National, Doctor believes Meisner’s current profile is significantly stronger and tags him as a sleeper to finish top 20 at plus 375. Supporting plays include Will Zalatoris to top 20 at plus 175, Max McGreevy to top 40, Johnny Keefer to top 40, Lee Hodges to top 40, and several additional top 40 positions on emerging names such as S.H. Kim, David Ford, and Isaiah Salinda. First round targets center on early tee times, with Sam Ryder top 10 after round one, Meisner top 20 after round one, Ricky Castillo top 20 after round one, and Doug Ghim top 20 after round one all making the card. Doctor also releases DraftKings and PGA Tour lineup constructions built around Lowry, Rye, Zalatoris, McGreevy, and Meisner. In South Africa, he backs Angel Ayora top 10 and highlights Hennie du Plessis as a featured outright at 25 to 1 and top 20 at 2 to 1 following six straight top 25 finishes and four top tens in his last five appearances at his national championship.

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