Episode Details

Hey, it’s Alex, let me catch you up!

Since last week, OpenAI convinced OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger to join them, while keeping OpenClaw.. well... open. Anthropic dropped Sonnet 4.6 which nearly outperforms the previous Opus and is much cheaper, Qwen released 3.5 on Chinese New Year’s Eve, while DeepSeek was silent and Elon and XAI folks deployed Grok 4.20 without any benchmarks, and it’s 4 500B models in a trenchcoat?

Also, Anthropic updated rules state that it’s breaking ToS to use their plans for anything except Claude Code & Claude SDK (and then clarified that it’s OK? we’re not sure)

Then Google decided to drop their Gemini 3.1 Pro preview right at the start of our show, and it’s very nearly the best LLM folks can use right now (though it didn’t pass Nisten’s vibe checks)

Also, Google released Lyria 3 for music gen (though only 30 seconds?) and our own Ryan Carson blew up on X again with over 1M views for his Code Factory article, Wolfram did a deep dive into Terminal Bench and .. we have a brand new website:

https://thursdai.news 🎉

Great week all in all, let’s dive in!

ThursdAI - Subscribe to never feel like you’re behind. Share with your friends if you’re already subscribed!

Big Companies & API updates

Google releases Gemini 3.1 Pro with 77.1% on ARC-AGI-2 (X, Blog, Announcement)

In a release that surprised no-one, Google decided to drop their latest update to Gemini models, and it’s quite a big update too! We’ve now seen all major labs ship big model updates in the first two months of 2026. With 77.1% on ARC-AGI 2, and 80.6% on SWE-bench verified, Gemini is not complete SOTA across the board but it’s damn near close.

The kicker is, it’s VERY competitive on the pricing, with 1M context, $2 / $12 (<200k tokens), and Google’s TPU speeds, this is now the model to beat! Initial vibe checks live on stage did not seem amazing, Nisten wasn’t super impressed, Ryan took one glance at the SWE-bench pro not being SOTA and decided to skip, and he’s added that, at some point, it is benefitting to pick a model and stick to it, the constant context switching is really hard for folks who want to keep shipping.

But if you look at the trajectory, it’s really notable how quickly we’re moving, with this model being 82% better on abstract reasoning than the 3 pro released just a few months ago!

The 1 Million Context Discrepancy, who’s better at long context?

The most fascinating catch of the live broadcast came from LDJ, who has an eagle eye for evaluation tables. He immediately noticed something weird in Google’s reported benchmarks regarding long-context recall. On the MRCR v2 8-needle benchmark (which tests retrieval quality deep inside a massive context window), Google’s table showed Gemini 3.1 Pro getting a 26% recall score at 1 million tokens. Curiously, they marked Claude Opus 4.6 as “not supported” in that exact tier.

LDJ quickly pulled up the actual receipts: Opus 4.6 at a 1-million context window gets a staggering 76% recall score. That is a massive discrepancy! It was addressed by a member of DeepMind on X in a response to me, saying that Anthropic used an internal model for evaluating this (with receipts he pulled from the Anthropic model card)

Live Vibe-Coding Test for Gemini 3.1 Pro

We couldn’t just stare at numbers, so Nisten immediately fired up AI Studio for a live vibe check. He thr