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February 13-15 | Ledger Recap
Description
It is February 16th, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.
In this edition of the Ledger Recap, the team analyzes a stagnant session to find the hidden alpha. We deep-dive into the systemic mispricing of Kansas’s depth and how Iowa State’s frontcourt intensity provided a massive opportunity for those tracking prediction market odds. The discussion covers the execution failures in the Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt game and why the "99-cent rule" is a vital tool for traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
- Iowa State vs. Kansas: Why the market floor was mispriced and how to capture more alpha via Alt Positions.
- Texas A&M vs. Vanderbilt: A lesson in drop coverage and mid-game share cratering.
- Exhibition Volatility: How modified target scores impact the total volume of scoring and betting totals.
- Strategic Evolution: Introducing the "Aggression Offset" for high-conviction data plays.
Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com
"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/