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Why did Newell rally 16% on a loss?: Q4 2025 earnings - 2.6.2026 (058)

Published 5 months, 3 weeks ago
Description

Newell Brands (NWL) just posted a $272 million GAAP loss and guided for *negative* earnings in Q1 2026. So naturally, the stock ripped 16% in a single day. In this episode, Susie and Miro unpack the "relief rally paradox" behind Sharpie and Rubbermaid’s latest numbers to figure out what investors are actually celebrating.

We dig into the massive $340M impairment charge, the strategic move to cut China sourcing to under 10% (de-risking the tariff threat), and the standout performance of the Baby segment. But it’s not all good news: with leverage stuck at 5.1x, management is making a high-stakes bet on a Q2 rebound driven by shelf resets and a consumer "Mini-Stimulus."

Is the turnaround real, or are they just kicking the can down the road? 📉🤔

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