Episode Details

It is Friday, February 6th, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

In this episode of the Ledger Recap, we dissect a high-volume session that yielded +12.6 units. We perform a clinical film review of the Kings vs. Flyers matchup, exploring why the market mispriced the puck-line and how to identify systemic defensive failures. We also dive into our 'Defensive Gravitational Pivot' law, which successfully predicted the under on points for Austin Reaves and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

• Analysis of vertical integration in NHL betting strategies.
• Managing contract liquidity and tail-risk on Kalshi and Polymarket during live events.
• The 'Interior Leverage Compounding' hypothesis in college basketball featuring Siena and Canisius.
• Why the Timberwolves and Hurricanes are providing high-conviction value in the current market.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly. For questions or feedback, reach out to feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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