Episode Details
Back to EpisodesOpinion Obervations + New Certs + Final Thoughts on This Week's Oral Arguments
Description
OVERVIEW
Don't miss this action packed episode. In it, we cover three things:
- News that the Supreme Court agreed to hear 4 new cases;
- News that the Supreme Court will issue opinions
- Stats, trends, and observations of last week's 4 opinions; and
- Final thoughts on this week's oral arguments
NEW CERTIORARI GRANTS
Cases Added: Four new grants bring total to approximately 57 unique cases for the term
- Geofence Warrants Case: Constitutional challenge to warrants allowing police access to cell phone user data by specific date, time, and location
- Patent Infringement Case: Intellectual property dispute involving patent protection standards
- Monsanto/Roundup Case: Product liability challenge over failure to warn about cancer dangers
- Investment Fund Case: Securities litigation involving pleading standards for fund underperformance claims
Term Outlook: Current case count (57 unique cases) approaches last term's 62-63 cases, suggesting limited additional grants expected
JANUARY 20TH OPINIONS FORTHCOMING
Release Schedule: Supreme Court plans opinion release on Monday, January 20th Coverage Plan: Detailed opinion breakdowns scheduled for Thursday or Friday depending on volume Anticipation: Multiple pending cases await resolution from previous oral argument sessions
SCOTUS OPINION TRENDS & STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
Reversal Patterns: Current term mirrors historical 69% reversal rate
- 3 reversals/vacates vs. 1 affirmance from first four decisions
- Montana Supreme Court decision upheld; federal circuit courts overturned
Vote Distributions: Early decisions show typical voting patterns
- 2 unanimous (9-0) decisions: Barrett v. United States, Case v. Montana
- 1 decision 7-2, 1 decision 5-4
- 3 criminal law cases, 1 standing/election case
Authorship Patterns: Different justices authored each majority opinion
- Roberts, Sotomayor, Kagan, Jackson wrote majorities
- Gorsuch most active: 2 concurrences, 1 dissent
- Jackson 2nd most active: 1 majority, 1 dissent
Judicial Fracturing Analysis: Early emergence of fractured reasoning despite agreement on outcomes
- Notable example: Bost v. Illinois where Barrett and Kagan joined conclusion but rejected reasoning
- Barrett criticized majority's "bespoke standing rule for candidates"
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