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Israel Today: Ongoing War Report - Update from 2026-01-15 at 16:07

Israel Today: Ongoing War Report - Update from 2026-01-15 at 16:07

Published 1 month, 1 week ago
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HEADLINES
Iran crackdown intensifies as protests spread nationwide
Somaliland recognition reshapes Red Sea security
US ties aid to counter Israel bias

The time is now 11:01 AM in New York, I'm Noa Levi and this is the latest Israel Today: Ongoing War Report.

Good morning. Here is the latest from the Middle East and surrounding developments as they unfold today.

Iranian protests persist as authorities tighten the crackdown. Demonstrations have broadened across major cities amid a collapsing rial, rising prices, and a nationwide water crisis. Across provinces with large urban and Kurdish populations, security forces have been deploying more extensively, and internet access has been severely restricted in an attempt to disrupt coordination among protesters. Reports from within Iran describe arrests, prosecutions, and a intensifying campaign to label dissidents as insurgents, with authorities signaling a willingness to use severe measures to restore control. In this climate, regional actors continue to weigh how far to push pressure without provoking broader conflict.

In the shadowy layer of the crisis, questions about foreign involvement swirl. Iranian authorities accuse external actors of backing the protests, while regional groups and external assessors discuss the possible reach of intelligence services beyond public view. There are ongoing debates about covert activity, including the role of foreign partners in shaping events inside Iran. Iran’s leadership has warned against what it calls foreign meddling, while observers note that domestic fatigue and the regime’s own vulnerabilities have created a fragile environment where external moves could influence dynamics inside the country.

Across the border, Iraqi and regional militias are said to be involved in supporting or shaping responses to the Iranian protests, according to multiple accounts. Reports describe movement of fighters and equipment across borders and through Iraqi territory, with online chatter and open-source descriptions pointing to coordination by factions tied to the broader regional security landscape. The United States has expressed concern about these developments, underscoring the risks they pose to civilians and to regional stability as different powers weigh their next steps in a charged environment.

Turning to Israel, the Mossad’s role in the Iran question remains a point of dispute in public discourse. Public discussion has focused on alleged covert activity and messaging attributed to the agency, including claims of public-facing statements and covert links that may or may not be formally connected to operations on the ground in Tehran. Israeli authorities publicly deny any explicit, formal involvement in protests, while analysts note that intelligence operations often rely on fronts or indirect channels. The broader takeaway remains that Israel has long sought to counter Iranian influence and to deter Tehran’s regional ambitions, while publicly balancing a careful approach to avoid exposing sensitive capabilities or triggering direct confrontation.

On another strategic track, discussions among defense and security thinkers about the Red Sea region highlight a significant potential shift. There is growing consideration of recognizing Somaliland as a way to influence the strategic balance around the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Observers frame this not as a symbolic gesture but as a move intended to shape regional choices, particularly in relation to Saudi interests and the broader US-Israel-UAE security architecture. The idea is that quietly strengthening ties with a partner near critical maritime routes could influence Gulf state risk calculations, encouraging alignment with a security framework that prioritizes stability and freedom of navigation through key chokepoints.

In parallel, regional political dynamics continue to evolve. The Palestinian arena r
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