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Good Tempo, Hollow Tune (Filipović & Wagner, 2025) | FT50 RFS
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Reference
Filipović, Z. M., & Wagner, A. F. (2025). The Intangibles Song in Takeover Announcements: Good Tempo, Hollow Tune. The Review of Financial Studies. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf116
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Welcome to Revise and Resubmit 🎙️✨
Today we are tuning our ears to a very different kind of music in finance. Not the ringing of the opening bell, not the closing buzz of the trading floor, but a quieter track hidden in corporate speeches. The lyrics of takeovers. The rhythm of promises. The melody of intangibles.
The paper on our playlist is
“The Intangibles Song in Takeover Announcements: Good Tempo, Hollow Tune” 🎵
Written by Zoran M Filipović and Alexander F Wagner, and published in The Review of Financial Studies 🎓📊
Yes, that Review of Financial Studies. A prestigious, top tier outlet on the FT50 journal list, where only the sharpest, hardest tested ideas in finance get to perform on the main stage. This is not background music. This is headliner theory.
In this episode, we step into the world of mergers and acquisitions 💼💥
Executives announce a takeover.
They talk about synergies, innovation, customer relationships, human capital.
On the surface, it sounds inspiring. Uplifting. Almost poetic.
Filipović and Wagner ask a deceptively simple question:
When managers sing loudly about intangibles, is that a sign of hidden value, or is it a beautiful cover for a broken deal? 🎭
To find out, they build a special word list for intangibles and apply it to takeover announcements. Then they listen carefully. Count the words. Measure the tone. Track the market.
Here is what they find:
When there is one standard deviation more of “intangibles talk” in a takeover announcement, the acquirer’s stock reacts worse. Announcement returns drop by about 0.53 percentage points 📉
And it does not stop there. Those deals tend to deliver weaker operating performance later on. The tune sounds sweet on day one, but the song ages badly. The tempo is good, but the tune is hollow.
Yet the managers do not seem to hear the problem. They still believe in these deals:
They trade more in their own stock 🧾
They lean into cash payments 💵
The deals are more likely to complete and complete faster ⏱️
So markets hear warning noise, while managers hear victory music. This gap between language, belief, and outcome is where the paper lives. The humble takeover announcement becomes a psychological mirror, reflecting managerial overoptimism and behavioral bias hiding inside polished corporate disclosure.
What looks like a sophisticated story about intangible value often reveals something much starker: a pattern of value destruction for shareholders, written not in numbers, but in words.
In other words, if you know how to listen, the text of the deal is already humming the future of the firm 🎧
As we dive into this FT50 powerhouse article from The Review of Financial Studies, ask yourself:
🎼 The next time you hear executives sing about intangibles in a takeover, are you listening