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Is this the beginning of the end of the U.S.’s exorbitant privilege?
Episode 129
Published 1 year, 5 months ago
Description
In this episode, experts analyze a turning point in U.S. fiscal and geopolitical policy as the dollar hits a six‐month low, gold surges past $3,200/oz, and the euro reaches a three-year high. The discussion covers mounting global skepticism over debt-financed tax cuts and trade tensions—highlighting a shift towards de-dollarization—and examines how defensive portfolio strategies and various quantitative models (like the Crowding, GRID, and Macro Weather Models) help investors navigate these volatile conditions. The podcast also addresses risks such as twin deficits and fiscal erosion, while outlining potential opportunities in gold and international risk assets, and concludes with insights on labor market challenges amid reshoring trends.