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12-11-25 Bifurcated Fed Cuts Rates - What’s Next
Published 4 weeks, 2 days ago
Description
The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter point Wednesday, but the real story is the division behind the decision. For the first time since 2021, three Fed governors dissented--an uncommon break in policy unity that raises new questions about inflation progress, economic risk, and the path of monetary policy into 2026.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why the Fed cut now, what the dissent signals, and how a split vote may affect market volatility, yields, and expectations for future rate moves. We also look at how past dissent has aligned with turning points in policy cycles and what this could mean for portfolios as financial conditions continue to ease.
Use the chapter markers below to jump to any topic.
0:00 - INTRO
0:19 - The Fed Giveth, Oracle Taketh Away
6:53 - Volatility on the Rise
11:25 - Adding Ultra for Mrs. Roberts
14:16 - Surprises from the Fed?
18:15 - Fed Statement Analysis (chart)
20:12 - Betting on Kevin Hassett
22:08 - QE or Not QE?
26:30 - Valuations are a Function of Sentiment
29:48 - When Will Markets Crash?
32:32 - The Break Between Value & Growth
35:32 - ETF Issueance & High Risk Offerings
38:52 - What Happens When Gold and Stocks Rise
41:12 - What is Your Goal for Your Portfolio?
42:52 - Coming Attractions
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility After the Fed," is here:
https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bullish-case-or-bearish-backdrop/
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